At the turn of a decade it’s always worthwhile looking back to ones initial dreams.
In my case it was all about being at the forefront of innovation in the mobile space. From viewing my first mobile video in Helsinki to the first mobile augmented reality demo in Amsterdam. I had the chance to participate in and witness many interesting projects in mobile from the 1st row: as an entrepreneur, a strategist, a conference organizer, a blogger, a speaker and a networker with a mission to inspire others, to help them in the process of building new great things.
To this end I have been writing down my predictions in mobile & wireless for a couple of years now. This year I thought it was the time to move on and do something different, so I asked some of my personal heroes in mobile to write down their five most significant trends for the coming decade.
All of them have been of great inspiration to me during this decade: for their ideas, visions, talent, the capabilities to adapt and the perseverance to succeed whatever the situation. While I didn’t know any one of these great people 10 years ago, I’m glad to have met most of them and proud that some I can call them real friends.
I’d like to thank everyone who contributed to this document including Douglas Rushkoff, Katrin Verclas, Willem Boijens, Timo Arnall, Gerd Leonhard, Fabien Girardin, Alan Moore, Martin Duval, Tony Fish, Ilja Laurs, Yuri van Geest, Nicolas Nova, Raimo van der Klein, Russell Buckley, Tomi Ahonen, Stefan Constantinescu, Rich Wong, Marshall Kirkpatrick, Andy Abramson, Marek Pawlowski, Russ McGuire, Carlo Longino, Howard Rheingold, Steve O’Hear, Ted Morgan, Kevin C. Tofel, Jonathan MacDonald, David Wood, Michael Breidenbruecker, Henri Moissinac, Andreas Constantinou, C. Enrique Ortiz, Raj Singh, Marc Davis, David Harper, Loic Le Meur, Ajit Jaokar, Inma Martinez, Carlos Domingo, Kelly Goto, Felix Petersen, Matthaus Krzykowski, Tom Hume, Atau Tanaka and Robert Rice. Special thanks to Steffen Becker for the visualisation.
I am in awe and grateful when I look at the wisdom and insight that these busy people were so happy to share with the world.
It is exactly in this spirit that I myself want to move on into the next decade. Convinced that more openness, knowledge sharing and collaboration is key to facing our global challenges, in 2009, I co-founded dotopen.com. A space at the fuzzy edges of innovation, dotopen.com will hopefully help many entrepreneurs and organizations across all industries to open up, exchange, collaborate, create and inspire.
I hope to meet you all there!
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 3.0 Unported License.
If you enjoyed this article, please consider sharing it!
31 Responses to Mobile Trends 2020
Follow Me
Projects
[...] Towards the tail end of 2009 I got an email from Rudy De Waele informing me that he was working on a project that involves asking various brilliant people in the mobile industry what 5 trends they th…. I was honored to have been asked, but thanks to a todo stretching from Finland to Germany I [...]
[...] and IT industries contributed answers. The entire set of answers is now available for viewing on Rudy’s m-trends.org blog and is also posted onto slideshare.net, from where you can download a PDF [...]
Awesome summary of mobile trends for next decade! thanks for putting together, and inviting me to participate.
ceo
[...] who has been tracking the mobile space for as long as I can remember, asked a number of his personal “mobile heroes” to predict five game-changing mobile trends for the next decade. Not quite sure how I made the list [...]
[...] read to start the 2010! Mobile Trends 2020 written by Rudy de Waele of MobileMonday Barcelona. Top trends for the next decade of mobile [...]
Where are the women? What do they think? Only 3 women gave their opinions!
Very interesting. I believe mobile phone is dead. Any phone today is already a multi appliance: camera, PIM, radio, MP3, games, GPS, WiFi, payment… Now smartphones, is becoming the standard, and it is closer to a small computer than a phone.
The future will be leaded by apps (Gmail, Googlemaps, GPS,…) already work on different OS (Windows Mobile, Iphone, Android, Symbian,…). The leading OS will be the one which offers the most interesting apps (and the best user interface).
Within 10 years the “mobile phone” will center itself on usability (virtual reality, local search, speech to text,…) that will reduce today’s defects tied to a small device (small screen, poor keyboard, audio in noisy environment, battery,…)
and will be an hybrid of our wallet (money, photo, agenda, keys…), a personal entertainment center (games, music, video, book, magazine…), a social network center (always on connected to social networks and messaging). and…a phone mixing mobile and fixed line (Cellular and VoIP) (4G will make them converge).
The “phone” will be lighter and thinner and new form factors will appear thanks to thin flexible screen like color e-ink. Battery will last for weeks, will be rechargeable by induction everywhere.
New devices will appear and evolve using mobile technology. Sim cards will be naturally included to many devices we already use today: car, TV, fridge, PC, game console, cameras…
Hopefully roaming will disappear and data plan become cheaper.
I also have a pessimistic view if it is demonstrated that cellular waves are more damageable to health than we think today. In that case future will be uncertain and new transmission technologies will have to be discovered and used. But that is a story that nobody wants to hear.
Happy 2010
[...] Research Most of you have probably seen the presentation and the blog post at Rudy’s site but for those of you who haven’t I thought a good way of kicking off our [...]
[...] Read full story Leave a Reply [...]
[...] For background information on how this came about see Rudy’s blog Mobile Trends 2020. [...]
[...] one done by David Armano on the future of Mobile trends to 2020 [an ambitious time horizon] with contributions from a wide range of experts. Note he credits each [...]
[...] nice collaborative presentation by m-Trends on mobile trends for the next 10 years. A lot of things to think about… Share and [...]
Thanks Rudy for collecting this nice material.
I agree on most visions concerning use of nanotechnology making devices smaller, transparent, flexible and squeezable, ubiqutous computing, wearables, alternative energy sources or self-powering devices, environmentally friendly materials and production methods, role of (cloud) services (sw) over device (hw), internet-of-things etc. One thing I didn’t see mentioned: more use of learnings from human-computer interaction from accessibility and assistive technologies. The technology that is today being developed for the disabled is a forefront in more human-like capablitites for computers, and more intuitive input and interaction methods where technology adapts to human, and human doesn’t need to adapt to technology. The mobile industry should work more with assistive technology companies.
To Jean-Philippe: the women are here. Rudy’s list is people he chose to ask.
[...] 8, 2010 · Leave a Comment I just finished reading Mobile Trends 2020 from M-Trends and it’s great to see what some of the leaders in the industry are thinking about for the [...]
[...] Mobile Trends 2020: compiled by Rudy De Waele. [...]
To Jean-Philippe:
Mainly man as usual in tech… Nothing much I can do about that, I’m always attentive to include women in everything I do. I asked some more women though to contribute but not all have answered to my request. If you have some interesting profiles of who to ask, I’m happy to include them in the extended version to be released in a couple of days.
You may also want to read the 20 interviews I did for the “Women in Mobile” series I published a couple of years ago here on mTrends.
[...] buddy Rudy of m-trends send this presentation about what Mobile Trends we can expect in 2020. We have just had the [...]
This is a cool project.
But it’s pretty surprising that apparently there are no noteworthy trends in China, India, Brazil or even Japan
More thoughts… http://tripleodeon.com/2010/01/mobile-trends-2020-a-brief-review/
[...] Mobile Trends 2020 | mTrends – mobile media lifestyle trends – @mtrends what a wonderful… A super New Year post from @mtrends. Make sure you click through the slideshare presentation where he has some remarkable people sharing their top five mobile trends. CLIP: To this end I have been writing down my predictions in mobile & wireless for a couple of years now. This year I thought it was the time to move on and do something different, so I asked some of my personal heroes in mobile to write down their five most significant trends for the coming decade. [...]
[...] Crowd-sourced Mobile Trends for 2020 The beginning of a decade is always a time for prognostication, and this year is no exception. This is an interesting collaborative look on mobile device trends for 2020. A lot of these trends are already well on the way to widespread adoption, and I would argue that many will be seen by 2015. From Mobile Trends: [...]
[...] and put them together with those from an illustrious list of contributors (see below) into Mobile Trends 2020, the Slideshare presentation below. There’s some thought-provoking and conversation-inducing [...]
[...] buddy Rudy of m-trends sent this presentation about what Mobile Trends we can expect in 2020. We have just had the [...]
[...] Mobile Trends 2020 | mTrends – mobile media lifestyle trends At the turn of a decade it’s always worthwhile looking back to ones initial dreams. In my case it was all about being at the forefront of innovation in the mobile space [...]
[...] above is Howard Rheingold’s contribution Mobile Trends 2020, now on display at Rudy De Waele’s m-trends.org. The interactive piece presents mobile trends [...]
Here’s another prediction:
websites writing about mobile trends will have content that is readable on all leading mobile devices.
[...] above is Howard Rheingold’s contribution Mobile Trends 2020, now on display at Rudy De Waele’s m-trends.org. The interactive piece presents mobile trends [...]
[...] Archives « Mobile Trends 2020 [...]
Hi!
I just read your co-produced document. I just have one word to classify it “Fantastic”. It leaves any one thinking over mobile and his power.
I’m a computer teacher in Portugal and I will invite my students to see it and share it with his parents and relatives.
I would like to live here a question:
What are the trends for mobile learning in school enviornment?
best regards.
[...] who has been tracking the mobile space for as long as I can remember, asked a number of his personal “mobile heroes” to predict five game-changing mobile trends for the next decade. Not quite sure how I made the list [...]
[...] Here you have what has been compiled from Rudy based on the input of a ton of important people from the mobile industry (I am really proud to be in that list considering that compared to many of them I am a total newcomer). Many people have predicted similar things as I have done although not every list is the same, I think that is the beauty of the exercise that Rudy has done. That presentation has a wealth of information that I am planning on using for my own planning work at Telefónica. Very, very cool job, congratulations Rudy!!! [...]
[...] Mobile Trends 2020 – mTrends [...]
[...] this week saw the publication of a collection of 40 or so pundits’ predictions mobile trends for the coming decade. Should I dislike this 400 times more? Well, fortunately no! Ten years gives more room for the [...]